[JPMorgan Predicts US Recession In Late 2025 Due To Trump Tariffs] JPMorgan Forecasts A US Recession In The Second Half Of 2025 Due To The Impact Of Potential Trump Tariffs, With GDP Contracting By 1% In Q3 And 0.5% In Q4, Leading To A 0.3% GDP Decrease For The Full Year. The Analysis Anticipates The Unemployment Rate Rising To 5.3% From March's 4.2%, With Core PCE Inflation Ending 2025 At 4.4%. The Forecast Also Projects The Federal Reserve Cutting Interest Rates To 3% By January 2026 In Response To The Economic Slowdown.

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